5.3 C
Friday, January 21, 2022

‘Modest change’ in people’s behaviour could shift balance in Covid transmission- NPHET

As Covid-19 cases surge throughout Ireland, Professor Philip Nolan has suggested that a “modest change’ in people’s behaviour would be enough to shift the balance in Covid-19 transmissions.

Nolan, who is the chair of the NPHET Irish Epidemiological Modelling Advisory Group, said that the balance has tipped in the wrong direction but that a change in people’s behaviour could alter that.


He said that the change in behaviour would reduce the reproductive number of the virus below 1.0 where it can then be suppressed.

In the past seven days, cases have been up by about 30% on the previous week with health officials confirming 2,180 new cases earlier today.

The HSE has also expressed concern about less than 10% of the population being unvaccinated as well as the fact that 60% are in ICU.


Nolan tweeted, “The increase over the last 10 days shows that this balance has tipped in the wrong direction: with high levels of circulating virus even a subtle change in the scale or nature of social contact can significantly shift the dynamics of viral transmission in the population.”

IMAGE – PA Images


Teachers’ unions call for traditional State Exams to take place amid criticism over ‘unhelpful’ speculation about hybrid model

The Association of Secondary Teachers in Ireland (ASTI) and the Teachers Union of Ireland (TUI) have called for State Exams to take...

Confrontation and massive consequences amongst warnings from US ahead of talks with Russia over Ukraine

United States Secretary of State Anthony Blinken has warned Russia that "confrontation and massive consequences" await if it continues with its aggression...

Jeffrey Donaldson says DUP on same page as Liz Truss over Northern Ireland Protocol as the UK Foreign Secretary threatens triggering Article 16

Leader of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) Jeffrey Donaldson has claimed UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is on the same page in...

Mandatory vaccinations to be discussed by NPHET while legal and ethical paper is prepared by Department of Health

The National Public Health Emergency Team (NPHET) will be discussing mandatory vaccinations while the Department of Health prepares a legal and ethical...
clear sky
5.3 ° C
5.8 °
5.1 °
74 %
10 %
6 °
8 °
7 °
9 °
8 °