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Tuesday, December 7, 2021

Too soon to link floods to climate change, says experts

With over 100 people dead following catastrophic floods in Germany, many people are questioning if climate change is to blame for the floods.

The floods, which raged through western Germany, have resulted from recent heavy downpour.

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Scientific research has suggested that heavier downpours will result from climate change, however, scientists have stated that weeks of research will be required in order to determine the cause behind Germany’s flooding.

Climate scientist at Imperial College London Ralf Toumi stated, “Floods always happen, and they are like random events, like rolling the dice. But we’ve changed the odds on rolling the dice,”.

With the average global temperature continuing to rise, heavy rainfall is more likely according to scientists.

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This is because warmer air retains more moisture which leads to a heavier release of water.

On Monday and Tuesday, the German city of Cologne saw more than 15cm of rain.

Some observations suggest that the heavy downpours have been encouraged by a low-pressure system which has remained over western Europe for days.

Although further analysis is required to determine if the floods are linked to climate change, the floods follow just weeks after an extreme heatwave took place in Canada.

Hundreds of deaths were reported as a result of the record-breaking heatwave which scientists have stated is “virtually impossible” without climate change.

Although some researchers have been predicting weather disruptions as a result of climate change for decades, some have been taken by surprise by the speed at which these events are taking place.

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